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Written by Curation

Software Gets the Hype. Infrastructure Gets Paid.

What was said: In a macro environment defined by uncertainty in AI adoption and uneven sector visibility, markets are increasingly leaning toward businesses with tangible assets, understandable earnings drivers

What was said:

In a macro environment defined by uncertainty in AI adoption and uneven sector visibility, markets are increasingly leaning toward businesses with tangible assets, understandable earnings drivers, and visible cash flows rather than those reliant on multiple re-rating.

At the same time, there has been a broader reassessment of intangible-heavy and feature-led software models as advancing AI capabilities compress differentiation, challenge seat-based growth assumptions, and contribute to selective weakness across SaaS and growth software, with investors questioning the durability of moats built primarily on intangible assets.

Why we give a ****:

As the market reassesses what constitutes a defensible moat in an AI-accelerating world, asset-backed businesses with embedded infrastructure, real utilisation, and demand-linked cash flows are becoming more attractive due to their capital intensity, operational integration, and harder-to-replicate competitive advantages.

Crucially, these companies are not being displaced by AI but enhanced by it, as AI serves as an efficiency layer that optimises operations, reduces costs, and strengthens margins while the underlying tangible asset base remains the core source of long-term value and resilience in periods of uncertainty.

Relevant stocks: LSE:SGRO, XETR:HDD, NASDAQ:META, NASDAQ:AMZN, NASDAQ:MSFT, NASDAQ:NVDA

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